Predicting Geopolitics
Probability forecasts and analysis for geopolitical events
About IntelGeoPol
Predictive Analysis
We merge our expert knowledge with AI to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.
Our Methodology
We use a combination of historical data, expert knowledge, and machine learning to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.
Track Record
We have a proven track record of predicting major political shifts, economic developments, and regional conflicts.
Key Research Areas
Latin America
Analyzing political trends, economic development, and social movements in the region.
- Regional integration and trade agreements
- Democratic consolidation and challenges
- Environmental policies and sustainable development
Latest Blog Posts
Trump Administration Considers Nuclear Development Program for Iran to Ease Tensions
June 27th, 2025
What is the Proposed Nuclear Program? The Trump administration is contemplating a significant shift in its approach towards Iran by proposing the development of a civil nuclear energy program. This initiative would involve providing Iran with access to up to thirty billion dollars, aimed at facilit...
Uncertainty Looms as Iran Considers Response to Recent US Attacks
June 23rd, 2025
What Has Led to the Current Tensions? The recent escalation between the United States and Iran is rooted in a complex history of geopolitical tensions. The latest incident, a US attack on Iranian soil, has further strained relations. Iran's special envoy to the United Nations stated that the countr...
US-Israel Joint Military Exercise and Its Implications on Iranian Nuclear Facilities
June 22nd, 2025
What is the Significance of a Joint Military Exercise? The revelation that the United States and Israel conducted a joint military exercise targeting Iranian nuclear facilities is a significant development in the geopolitical landscape. Such exercises, often shrouded in secrecy, serve as both a dem...
Our Experts
Lukas Tassanyi
Director
Expertise in Latin America, South East Asia and Russia
Our Global Impact
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Successful predictions in 2023
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Active probability forecasts
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Countries monitored
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Prediction accuracy rate
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