Predicting Geopolitics
Probability forecasts and analysis for geopolitical events
About IntelGeoPol
Predictive Analysis
We merge our expert knowledge with AI to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.
Our Methodology
We use a combination of historical data, expert knowledge, and machine learning to forecast probabilities of key geopolitical events across emerging markets.
Track Record
We have a proven track record of predicting major political shifts, economic developments, and regional conflicts.
Key Research Areas
Latin America
Analyzing political trends, economic development, and social movements in the region.
- Regional integration and trade agreements
- Democratic consolidation and challenges
- Environmental policies and sustainable development
Latest Blog Posts
India's Commitment to Russian Oil Amidst US Tariff Warnings
September 10th, 2025
What Drives India's Oil Import Strategy? India's strategic decision to continue purchasing Russian oil, despite warnings from former US President Donald Trump, is rooted in a complex interplay of economic, logistical, and quality considerations. As the world's third-largest importer of crude oil, I...
Potential Diplomatic Breakthrough: Putin, Trump, and Zelenskyy Meeting on the Horizon
August 19th, 2025
What Prompted the Meeting Initiative? The announcement of a potential meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin, U.S. President Donald Trump, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy marks a significant development in the ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Russia and Ukraine. The ini...
Diplomatic Developments: Putin, Trump, and Zelenskyy Prepare for Crucial Meeting
August 19th, 2025
What Prompted the Meeting Proposal? The recent announcement that Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed readiness to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has drawn significant international attention. This development comes amidst ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine, wh...
Our Experts
Lukas Tassanyi
Director
Expertise in Latin America, South East Asia and Russia
Our Global Impact
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Successful predictions in 2023
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Active probability forecasts
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Countries monitored
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Prediction accuracy rate
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